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I thought this was quite amusing...

I'm hoping the evidence the FSB produce will meet their already high standards... https://www.vice.com/en/article/88gpmg/russia-sims-3

It's interesting in the video that it shows the HIMARS with nothing in front of it and a vehicle behind it, then the camera cuts to a different viewpoint and there's now a vehicle in front of it as well as behind it...I smell bullshit.

Looks like the rats are fleeing...

Whilst it's a good popcorn moment, it's interesting Prigozhin isn't going after Putin, just the heads of the military. Is it worth hoping Prigozhin loses after a long and very bloody campaign, so that the general Russian Army incompetence and corruption carries on as before?

Early reports that the second defensive line on the Tokmak axis has been breached by Ukrainian forces...

As a counterpoint to the first losses of western supplled equipment...

Small numbers compared to the hundreds of thousands that fled Russia to avoid the draft.

Zaluzhny, alive and well

I see it more as the Ukraine defence putting studs on the ball, waiting for the moment to break the Russian press and rip them a new one.

Having flown Aeroflot to Japan in 2019, they were as dodgy as f*** then. 4 years down the line and a year's worth of western sanctions preventing the Russian aviation industry from doing sufficient maintainence, I'm not surprised Putin's not setting foot on a Russian plane. I wouldn't either.

"We have freedom, give us wings to protect it."

It's generally the case the attacking force needs about 3x the number of troops than the defender, so for Ukraine to get beaten back badly would require a massive troop surge from Russia. There are signs that they are pumping more conscripts into the Donbas though not at the numbers to make...

Irrespective of whether it's incompetence or not (it probably is), it gives NATO a huge window of opportunity to take further action, should they wish to do so. I'm sure Putin will be watching closely to see if NATO do respond (given that a NATO state has just been attacked, technically).

Thought this was a very good analysis of the threat from Belarus. tl:dr it's a bluff, Belarus has handed over a load of tanks to Russia and the border between Belarus and Ukraine is mainly impassable marsh and Ukraine have got the only militarily useful routes secured. It would be suicide for...