Logistically, to fully occupy such a vast country with the risk of counter-offensives from Ukrainian resistance is expensive and dangerous. The Russian economy is in dire straits and they lack technical expertise and parts to sustain occupation.
I think that a more realistic aim would be to...
With Navalny dead, the Russian Presidential "Election" a month a way and the second anniversary of the war just 8 days away I fully expect Russian to give the Ukraine campaign the full gun now.
This is not the time for the West to be wavering over their support for Ukraine.
The state of the domestic Russian economy is not getting any main TV news coverage but the stuff Putin is having to deal with is alarming.
Last month Russian increased interest rates to 13% but inflation is still 7.5%, the rouble is at an 18-month low, capital controls are being imposed forcing...
I watched some of this live last night. There was a lot of love in the room for the Ukrainian leader. It was emotional although it's not lost on me a lot of Americans are loving sticking it to the Russians vicariously via the Ukrainians. This is the Hot War they never had.
To be fair to Germany, their military has remained modest since they wee forced to demilitarise after WW2, although a by-product of Putin's War is that Germany is now actively enlarging its military capability in the knowledge it will be expected to play a larger role in combatting Russian...
I thought the article was strong on the military conflict but weak on predicting the outcome.
Putin has annexed 4 states and claimed them for Russia. He continues to bomb civilian targets and send convicts to the frontline, showing he has zero regard to the life of Russians or Ukrainians...
Trump is still Republican leader and his comments about Putin's invasion of Ukraine being a smart move are starting to look even more stupid than before. Biden has quietly armed Ukraine to the hilt and it is paying dividends. Politically this is a big win for Biden.
I don't know how the Russian military can 'get up' for this war on a long-term basis. They must all know Ukrainians personally, it is similar to Scotland getting independence then England bombing the **** out of them even though hundreds of thousands of Scots live in England. And as time goes...
Except that I would expect the parents of dead soldiers to make enquiries into how their sons died, possibly asking fellow soldiers. There are also numerous accounts of Russian soldiers not obeying orders or deserting, and they will be telling friends and family what is happening on the ground...
This is such a hard situation to make sense of, or to predict how it will end.
I cannot see how Putin can suppress the truth about the military blunders and human atrocities in Ukraine, particularly as there as so many people inter-married, Russians in Ukraine and Ukrainians in Russia. Then...
The deliberate bombing of a children's hospital in Mariupol today is almost inviting the NATO countries to intervene and given Putin that pretext he is after.
We have to hope that the sanctions begin to bite soon and that the Russians turn against their leader. I do not see how this ends well...
Not must of a strategists are you? The bottom line is Western Europeans feel Ukraine is still a distant land and semi- Russian anyway, they will be worried but not scared at this point. Russians will begin to scare Western Europe when NATO countries come under attack, or, worse still...
I'm not saying we don't have some military might. And I'm only stating threats our own miltary will be mindful of. Shutting down a few bank accounts is not going to help the people of Ukraine one iota.
i would have thought a good way to scare the 500m people of the EU would be to disable the UK through cyber attacks. This is not me being political, it is how I think we are now more at risk than we were.
And if it is immaterial then why were the Russians under Putin so keen for us to leave...
So you think being out of Europe and isolated makes no difference when faced with the actions from a now proven Russian megalomaniac?
European leadership so far has come from France and Germany. The UK under Boris and Truss are a laughing stock.
When we Brexited we left a whole host of European organisations that shared information on crime, finance, infrastructure, science. indeed, our initial response is to freeze assets of Russian banks, oligarchs. Yes, NATO is important militarily, but you wouldn't have to bomb or invade the UK to...