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sure but you cant directly compare cost of Covid with trade to % GDP growth. you end up compounding confusion about the original data. the cost of Covid contributed to GDP (includes government expenditure). GDP growth now will be lower due to the total fall in production due mostly to Covid...

can save you a lot of time here, the cited 4% hit to GDP is an estimate to 2030. the combined effects of brexit and covid is about the same 4% to date, estimates allocate about 2% to each. so it is said the GDP impact in total is about double in the long run. the total cost of Covid is not a...

thats a fair point. how much is bubbling around elsewhere in europe and who is the customer for such goods? story as stinky as the meat.

unexpectedly, despite everything trade both imports and exports to EU are higher than ever. https://www.statista.com/statistics/284750/united-kingdom-uk-total-eu-trade-in-goods-by-trade-value/

it'll largely sort itself once EES (electronic "stamp") rolls out, and Brits decide rushing to catch the first ferry of the summer holiday isnt a good idea. wait a week or two, fly, etc.

think the observation is that the checks took seconds at one port that take a minute at another. apart from volume, the checks themselves should take the same regardless. it seems odd it should take reported 45-60 seconds to ask someone their reason for travel, look at the passport and stamp...

comparison with Ireland are invalid because of special rules from CTA. better comparison would be whats happening on ships to Belgium, Netherlands or Germany. we'll not hear about them, no doubt they are checking and stamping passport as required but no delay as much lower traffic. as i said...

good to have a view from afar. you're right there were many different groups in the brexit vote, and many didnt vote for this, they voted for many arbitary undefined versions of what brexit would be. as you put in another post, the way its handled is the biggest problem, because hardliner "leave...

friends have texted this morning they set out at 6 for a 12pm ferry expecting long delay. no queues, bumped to an earlier ferry and already in France.

think we should reflect on the attitude of the French to threaten cutting off electricity to 100k people, over permits for a couple of dozen fishing boats. i thought the europeans were supposed to be the grown ups.

heres an interesting one, EU Says A Post-Brexit Shellfish Export Ban Is Indefinite, After Government Claimed It Was Only Temporary. apart from not being in the deal and devastating to the shell fish industry, interesting because begs the question where does the EU consumer find the tons of shell...

the Technical Solutions (tm) might have worked, might not. glosses over what process the solution implements. thats the problem, country of origin, destinations all make that more complex where ever the border is (just moves when you do use the solution).

seems to me that neither side has really thought through how border checks will work for NI. i dont think there is a solution that works and acceptable to political positions of both UK and EU. NI and to some extent Ireland suffer as result. they've been a pawn in this the whole way through, as...

is the EU nothing more than trade bloc then? you do it a great disservice, obviously there are many other benefits, freedom of movement, stand regulations, social, judicial and economic integration etc.

you havent taken account of the large proportion of the vaccines that are the £15/dose Pfizer or £25/dose Moderna or other types. they will substantially raise the average. if we're paying av £20 for the remaining 60% (we're not), that would be £3.2bn alone. conclusion - not enough public...

in what way have they been ignored and betrayed? 20% more funding, devolved government covering health, education, law and police, environment, culture and some extras on social security. apart from harbouring memories of 1980s (oil and poll tax) what is the damage that receive from being in...

not overcomplicating anything, trying to understand what Herr Tubthumper sees on his invoice, being in Germany. even when i agree with you (VAT etc due), you still keep picking away at some old grievance ( i never stated we had passporting or equivalence, but UK traders were permitted to trade...

sure, there should be VAT added. its not clear if this is being mis-recorded as customs, a processing fee charged a % fee seperate to VAT, if there is a VAT discount.

still not clear if this is VAT marked as "customs and import" or actual customs costs. VAT is supposed to be charged at rate of buyer's country, after discounting the local country VAT - is this not happening? then the courier company may charge customs handling fees where they have to check...

no i suppose it isnt working. maybes, spending more on public services isnt the answer to everything.